Showing posts with label #Crises. Show all posts
Showing posts with label #Crises. Show all posts

Monday, 7 September 2015

Technology, a revealer of Truth or Fuel on the Fire??..

Is technology driving change for a sustainable tomorrow or driving mankind closer to the edge…


That poor Syrian boy who drowned escaping the conflict and was washed ashore for the world to see on social media is a perfect example of the savage conflicts that we were blissfully unware of just a few short years ago. We all ask, why? How could they? Who is to blame?

I have thought somewhat about that poor boy and the countless numbers of poor unfortunates of all ages whose only crime is being born in a country ruined by heartless state thugs and barbarous religious fanatics whom cannot seem to agree on anything in practice other than the majority of people are not innocents, but pawns in their sick game that shows no sign of abating to reason, compassion and what ever humanity maybe left in their hearts!

So focusing on nations who still have a beating heart in their chests and taking in refugees from ISIS and regime savagry, my thoughts move to process and how take in, process and disburse refugees amongst their population with a proper integration plan. For it to be sustainable, technology once again can aid change but should be overlaid into a good working process before value can be derived from the technology platform set up to house the process.

A good baseline for an integration process should have a proven process structure along the lines of what many NGO’s already have. It could be as follows:


Registration and Identity Validation*
Refugee’s basic details (name/address/family structure/records/issues/etc) are taken with production of passport or ID scanned against a template to create a file number for refugee. The application would scan the ID for defects and known forgery features to identify fake credentials. If passed, the application would then scan the internet looking for historic information on the town/area the refugee is coming from to confirm they have local knowledge of the area. Once the brief interview is over, the refugee status updated on the account.

Medical Evaluation (where necessary) & Starter Pack/Quartering with Essentials
Assigning medical assistance to the registered refugee should be done if needed along with a starter pack and quartering the refugee appropriately, which is assigned to the single read/write record. A record of all requests, needs and issues gets recorded building a data profile allowing needs to be predicted using some commonly used predictive data science algorithms. This also helps with finance, inventory and stock planning.


Interview & Aptitude Test*
A qualified professional should interview the refugee noting body language, answers and intimations that are compared using local culture knowledge. The interview should be recorded and transcripts put through data analysis (sentiment analysis for one) to assess the interviewees sentiment and conclusions of the interviewer. The refugee file should be updated.

An aptitude measuring IQ, EQ and other forms of intelligence should be recorded so the host country has a measurement of intelligence at the point of testing. The aptitude test should also feature cultural awareness of the host nation and quantify the level of awareness. It is in essence a starting point and should impact the longer term integration plan and support needed in transition.

Skills Assessment*
Interviewer should have gotten a skills list at the registration interview and then assigned the refugee to a specialist online skills exam in the areas of expertise to get a quantitative understanding of their skills level including languages spoken and proficiency levels. The results should be automatically updated on the unique account assigned to the refugee.

Threat Assessment*
Not every refugee applicant is an innocent refugee. Records may be unavailable from the country of origin even after application is made for them so an iterative threat assessment is necessary to weed out the wolves! This process may vary, but a iterative interviews recorded with text analytics will help flag threatening diction and repetitive patterning that indicates a possible threat posed by the individual.

Profile Completion & Classification*
Once the initial interview, registration, skills assessment and threat assessment is done with all information passed to a single file, then the refugee should be classified into a hierarchy of profiles (Short Term/Medium Term/Long Term) based on their profile and some preset elements that determines how a host nations will to accommodate the refugee. Where data science helps is when there is a good capture of information. It begins to connect the dots and flags predictive issues with the refugee. It is subject to human oversight but provides the evaluator with an educated guess to cause and outcomes for each point of interest that only gets better over time.

Assignment to Long Term Care/Integration Plan*
At this point, the refugee’s inputs should be somewhat minimalistic in terms of tests analysis and interviews. These types of inputs should be based on refining a longer term plan and the path ahead using data science analytics and case manager judgement. The length of time in the transition stage can be monitored, flagged and augmented by such technology in line with the design intent by the host nation.

(* = partly or fully automated/computerised process where data is inputted into a database located in an indexed data lake)

From there the single record per person is passed onto the host nation’s long term plan via access to the data lake (i.e. if done right,  a data lakes is many databases in the same place analysable as one), where they have permission to access and import that record into their own process instance within the same framework using the same unique file number.

The longer term plan based on the classification should feed seamlessly into the host country’s social fabric with education, cultural and social training being the priorities after housing, medical and job preparedness depending on the short/medium or long term classification.

A single system with integrated process and data science analytics and data driven decisions will have the following effect:

Security - Instantiate a security profile of the refugee based on interaction and inputs from them to a degree of accuracy that is verified by as many sources as possible. In the absence of prior records, it is a starting pillar on which to evaluate future behaviour against refining probabilities and threat posed.

Productivity - Its a travesty to have a good Doctor unable to work because he was not threaded in a plan to bring his English/German/French upto working standards for his host nation from the week he was registered as a refugee. She/he should be placed on a data driven and tailored plan to resolve any obstacles to achieving local qualifications in the host nation.  Every host nation saves a refugee by taking them in, but with technology’s help, the host nation can benefit from their presence and working contributions.

Social Integration - Technology can identify from good data inputs at the initial phase the best plan for integrating every individual into the host nation predicting cost and returns predicted along the journey. Concepts taken for granted can be mapped out and delivered in training to deliver understanding for the refugee and a sense of belonging to their new nation. With less fear of what could be, they take more control over their new lives and are less prone to manipulation by 3rd parties adding value to the society they are joining. Technology can help deliver on this too.


I could go on and one on this, as those outside or wars and savage conflicts are no longer shielded from it thanks to technology. Acting decisively with understanding, knowhow and vision, we can use technology as a catalyst for positive change saving those desperately in need in a manner that just some day may see them repaying such humanity in kind.

Monday, 23 February 2015

Leaving the past behind. Economic recovery and a sustainable future…

The relativity of recovery, is our economy going in the right direction?



We are all weary of hearing about concurrent financial woes and economic crises, which seems to be like a wildfire reigniting when the slightest of winds reach it. Once again there is Euro-trouble and Germany faces off against Greece in a troubled negotiation of a deal to make Greece into something many will say has not existed for hundreds of years, which is a prosperous state with a lowly leveraged debt ratio present on its balance sheet.

So if we had the same troubled headlines 7 or 8 years ago, why are these troubling headlines back into the world’s media of today? Politicians all over Europe will argue about Greece’s heroism in confronting corruption, change, unions, etc… but the reality is that Greece’s failure to conform to “market expectations” in its EU bailout deal is down to three kernels. Changing international market conditions, unrealistic EU demands/critical errors in judgement and of course a clan type culture in Greece, which is currently dominated by endemic corruption, nepotism and greed. In short, I believe the downplaying of Greek cultural attitudes to austerity and the resulting positions of powerful grassroots people and groups has set Greece up to ‘fail’ despite the best of intentions to the contrary. If you don’t accept something is inherently wrong, you will never attempt to fix it. A sad but true fact that has left me wondering, if we are doomed to repeat such impacting mistakes with such gleeful enthusiasm, what hope to we leave for our children’s children who would be better served receiving an economic future that is at the very least headed in a sustainable direction?

A profound question we all should consider even if the world does keep on turning and we see a continuance of what was in what will be. On that note, if we value a sustainable future for our children’s children, here are some points of consideration for that golden tomorrow:

Intuitive Bias. We make too many decisions of an impacting nature based upon our intuition (summary of our past experiences). What needs to change is us in terms of what we bring from our past; relying less on past outcomes and more on learnt lessons we gleaned from our experience, applying them to decisions on present day problems for better future outcomes.

Think outside of the box, as creativity knows no limits. We are bound by the rock we live on, which leaves us with a limited amount of resources we can pass onto the next generation. What is without limit is the horizon of our mind’s eye so thinking outside of the box in a limitless search for better solutions will positively enhance the impact our limited world will have on our children’s children.

Think collaboratively. It’s not a given for everybody to think collaboratively, but what if we all tried? For if we think collaboratively, we share our vision with others and they with us to a common purpose and outcome. After all, it’s not just our children that will benefit from our collaboration; it’s our neighbour’s children too!!


Greed is a vice that our children’s children will pay for. There is no sustainable future in overarching greed, for it’s a parasite that bleeds the life out of a sustainable future. A leader who could take all but decides to delegate the success, reward or even kudos to his team sets a standard that all should follow at all levels. By embracing community and sharing success, we reach to those less fortunate today giving them a hand up, who just may repay us tomorrow when they are donned with a ‘lucky break’ and want to be kind like the guy who help them out when they were at rock bottom. In denying over arching greed, we allow ourselves to be lead by purpose and share our humanity to common outcome.

True genius is knowing nothing but wanting to learn everything. Its hard suppressing ego and realising that the more we learn, the less we know. It’s one of the hardest hills we have to climb but when we do, we become stronger and more balanced in quantifying our true place in the universe along with gaining a clearer vision for the path ahead. Vision is a critical factor in creating a better tomorrow and is a capability within us all. We just need to dig deep to find it.  When we do, it’s amazing what becomes possible!

Learnt lessons as an aid. We don’t have all the answers and will continue to make mistakes, but if we embrace a sustainable future as the objective of today’s labour, then we will take our learnt lessons from the past, incorporate them into our decisions and plot a future free from past mistakes so that our children’s children will enjoy an outcome better to what we received from our fathers. Deploying learnt lessons allows us to evolve on a sustainable path once we keep the longer-term view in focus.


It’s a huge ask of any one person to “change tomorrow” and one day, one person just may with exceptional vision, ability and courage. However, what will impact tomorrow with much greater efficacy is our communal commitment to a sustainable future where our children’s children will inherit a better economy, culture and planet from us along with the responsibility for continuing the journey started by those who have gone before.



Credits/Sources:

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“Public Domain”